Wizbang

Could Biden Take a Dive Thursday?

  Tomorrow evening, Republican presumptive nominee and former President Donald Trump will face off against Democrat presumptive nominee and current President Joe Biden in a televised debate hosted by CNN, notably moderated by two individuals known for distinctly immoderate political positions.   The debate is widely considered as potentially decisive in shaping voter decisions just ahead of the party conventions.   It occurs to me that among the possible plans, would be one where Biden has an on-air medical event.  Here is why I think that could happen: Biden has trailed Trump all year long in the polls, and it gets worse

Wizbang

What the Polls Tell Us About the White House Race

  The race for the Presidency is statistically too close to call, according to media, but former President Trump is clearly doing better than he did in either 2016 and 2020.  The media is not saying that second part out loud, but a check on the last two cycles shows that to be so. RealClearPolitics shows Trump with 45.9% average support over nine current polls, compared to 45.0% average support for Biden.  Trump ranges from 41% to 51% support, while Biden ranges from 39% to 49% support.  That narrow lead, with an average Margin of Error of 2.7%, comports with